John Turney is a member of the Professional Football Research Association (PFRA), so he specializes in crunching numbers. He’s devised a system that ranks pass catchers based on four categories: catches per game, yards per game, yards per catch and touchdown percentage. His twist is that all four of the categories are weighted equally.
Turney recently ranked the top 283 receivers of all time and, based on his computations, the most productive pass catcher was Hall of Famer Don Hutson of the Green Bay Packers. He averaged 4.21 receptions per game, 68.8 yards per game, 16.4 yards per catch and scored a touchdown on a staggering 20.5 percent of his catches (100 in 488).
The two wide receivers on my personal all-time team -- Lance Alworth and Paul Warfield -- rank second and 10 all-time on Turney’s list. Here’s his rating scale for the Top 20:
Rank, Receiver | Catches | Yards | TDs | Rating |
1. Don Hutson | 488 | 7,981 | 100 | .842 |
2. Lance Alworth | 542 | 10,267 | 85 | .828 |
3. Randy Moss | 954 | 14,858 | 153 | .816 |
4. Art Powell | 479 | 8,046 | 81 | .800 |
5. Marvin Harrison | 1,102 | 14,580 | 128 | .791 |
6. Terrell Owens | 1,078 | 15,934 | 153 | .7904 |
7. Jerry Rice | 1,545 | 22,895 | 197 | .7901 |
8. Mike Quick | 363 | 6,464 | 61 | .775 |
9. Larry Fitzgerald | 613 | 8,204 | 65 | .773 |
10. Paul Warfield | 427 | 8,565 | 85 | .772 |
11. Bob Hayes | 371 | 7,414 | 71 | .771 |
12. Charlie Hennigan | 410 | 6,823 | 51 | .764 |
13. Andre Johnson | 673 | 9,164 | 50 | .757 |
14. Sterling Sharpe | 595 | 8,134 | 65 | .754 |
15. Torry Holt | 920 | 13,382 | 74 | .746 |
16. Don Maynard | 633 | 11,834 | 88 | .742 |
17. Marques Colston | 369 | 5,097 | 40 | .741 |
18. Anquan Boldin | 650 | 8,357 | 51 | .739 |
19. Michael Irvin | 750 | 11,904 | 65 | .737 |
20. Tommy McDonald | 495 | 8,410 | 84 | .725 |
(Hall of Famers in bold)
Powell (Raiders) and Hennigan (Oilers) played their careers in the AFL in the 1960s. Owens, Fitzgerald, Johnson, Colston and Boldin are all still active.
The three receivers who were finalists for the Hall of Fame last February but failed to garner enough support for induction were Carter, Tim Brown and Andre Reed. Carter ranks 44 on Turney’s list, Brown 85 and Reed 95.
Others of note include Hall of Famers Steve Largent (21st), Elroy Hirsch (25), Raymond Berry (51), James Lofton (53), Tom Fears (55), Charley Taylor (64), Bobby Mitchell (66), Lynn Swann (68), John Stallworth (83), Fred Biletnikoff (101), Art Monk (110), Lenny Moore (121) and Charlie Joiner (128).
Past and present Cowboys include Anthony Miller (59th), Keyshawn Johnson (62), Terry Glenn (63), Tony Hill (67), Joey Galloway (78), Roy Williams (91), Drew Pearson (118) and Raghib Ismail (184).
As a footnote, in Turney’s ratings the receivers are ranked 1 through 283 in all four categories. Boldin has the highest average of catches per game at 5.86, so all other receivers fall in under him. He gets the 100 points for being No. 1, Andre Johnson gets 99 points for ranking No. 2 with 5.85 receptions per game and so on down the line. Add a receiver’s ranking in each category and then divide by four for the receiver’s rating on Turney’s scale.
S
1 comment:
I love this type of thinking and speculation.
j
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