Sunday, January 3, 2010

Playoff Prediction-First Round

If I use my non-proven SB indicator for an early prediction.

Caveat:
It does not account for home field advantage, (Super Bowl on neutral field.)
It may need a tweak of 1 point or 2 points in weather.
The exceptions teams usually come with high scoring teams that score early in the year or teams with no offense and depend on defensive scores.

Point differential Breakdown:

Dallas-22.6 offense 15.6 Defense. 7pts Winner
Philly-26.8 offense 21.1 Defense. 5.7

Other games
Ari 23.4o 20.3d 3.1pts
GB 28.8o 18.6d 10.2 pts Winner. Scored well at the end of year.

Bal 24.4o 16.3d 8.1pt Scored most of the points early in the year.
NE 26.7o 17.8d 8.9pt Winner-Welker Factor?

Cin 20.3o 16.9d 3.4pt
NYJ 20.7o 15.7d 5 pts Winner- This one of those games with no offenses.

Min-9.9 Have problems with strong defensive fronts.
NO -10.6 A lot of points Scored Early in Year?
SD -8.4 No Blowouts outside of division, they play like the Cowboys in 91.
Ind-6.8 I have no idea, they score so quickly, that the d is on the field a lot.

The most dominant team I watched this year was San Diego. They seem to be able score when they want physically and they have a better defense than Indy or NO.
I felt like the Packers handled Dallas better than any other team during the year.
(I like that Coach)

Packers-Chargers SB
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